Tuesday, September 14, 2021

Tinplate Company of India Ltd ( 504966 ) – Betting big on tinplate

Tinplate Company of India Ltd ( 504966 ) closes   at 282.90 with  a  Gail   of   +1.10 %   on    on    14-September-2021  with formation of  a  Small Red Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.

About the Company :  The Tinplate Company of India Limited (TCIL) is an India-based producer of tin coated and tin free sheets. The Company manufactures various grades of electrolytic tinplates, tin-free steel sheets and full hard cold rolled sheets (FHCR) used for metal packaging. The Company's product range includes Electrolytic Tinplate (ETP) line and Cold Rolling Mill (CRM) products. The Electrolytic Tinplate line products include single reduced tinplates, Open Top Sanitary Cans (OTSC), tin free steel and double reduced tinplate sheets. The CRM products include hot rolled pickled coils, full hard coils and temper rolled/double reduced (Dr) coils. The Company's works is located at Jamshedpur, Jharkhand and has over 11 offices in India and a distribution network with approximately 20 stocking points.

Sector Update :  Positive

Refinitiv  Average Score : 9

Financials : Tinplate Company of India Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue   of 2281.00Cr & Net Profit 98.00 Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue   of 2768.00 Cr & Net Profit of 174.00 Cr in FY2022 .

Cash Conversion Cycle has improved to 19Days in FY2021 from 44days in FY2020, which resulted in Net Cash Flow turning Positive of ₹73.00 Cr. ROCE is 17% and EPS will improve from 9.38 in FY2021 to 16.61 in FY2022.

Valuations  : The Company is now Trading at X1.70 of its  valuations of  FY2021 earnings with ~70% Premium and X1.04  of its FY2022 earnings with ~0.04% Premium.

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now  0.90  which  makes is attractive after ~10% dip in price. The  Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is  262

Early Trend: 1. Steel producers are ramping up capacity in tinplate with an increase in out-of-home consumption and implementation of quality control measures.

2. The industry has been growing at a CAGR of 5-6 per cent. But with institutionalizing of retail, growth could be much higher in future.

3. Effective July 17, 2021, the government has enforced Steel & Steel Products’ (Quality Control) Order, mandating usage of prime grades of BIS certified tinplate.

4. Domestic prices are currently lower than international prices. Even though it may not make commercial sense to import right now.

If We factor its FY2022 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at 457.00

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

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Data Source NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line Money Control |Refinitiv |

The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |


Sunday, September 12, 2021

Surya Roshni Ltd ( 500336 ) – Demerging for a Growth

Surya Roshni Ltd ( 500336 )  closes   at 552.55 with  a  Gail   of   +6.0%   on    on    09-September-2021  with formation of  a  Long Green Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.

About the Company :  Surya is the second largest manufacturer of steel pipes (contributes 67% to EBITDA) and also the second largest LED manufacturer in India.

Sector Update :  Positive

Financials : Surya Roshni Ltd  has posted Net Sales / Revenue   of 5554.40Cr & Net Profit 156.50Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue   of 6220.90Cr & Net Profit of 258.80Cr in FY2022 & Net Sales / Revenue   of 6967.40Cr & Net Profit of 342.40 Cr in FY2023  .

ROE will improved from 12% in FY2021 to 19.60% by FY2023. ROCE  will increase from 12.30% to 20.8 %during the same period.

Valuations  : The Company is now Trading at X1.20 of its  valuations of  FY2021 earnings with ~20% Premium and X0.72 of its FY2022 earnings with ~28% Discount and  X0.54 of its FY2023 earnings with ~46%  Discount .

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now  1.3   which  makes is attractive . The  Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is  552.30

Early Trend: Demerger of its pipes and lighting segment could unlock significant value.

If We factor its FY2023 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at 1221.60

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext

Data Source NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line Money Control |Refinitiv |

The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

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Mahanagar Gas Ltd ( 539957 ) – Rising piped cooking gas prices

Mahanagar Gas Ltd ( 539957 )closes   at 1168.60 with  a  Fall   of   -0.70%   on    on    09-September-2021  with formation of  a  Small Red Candle    on Daily  Price Chart.

About the Company : Mahanagar Gas Ltd is in the business of City Gas Distribution (CGD), presently supplying Natural Gas in the city of Mumbai including its adjoining areas and the Raigad district, in the State of Maharashtra, India.

Sector Update :  Positive

Financials : Mahanagar Gas Ltd has posted Net Sales / Revenue   of 2152.30 Cr & Net Profit 619.60 Cr in FY2021 and expected to post Net Sales / Revenue   of 2989.20 Cr & Net Profit of 847.20Cr in FY2022 & Net Sales / Revenue   of 3500.90Cr & Net Profit of 924.20Cr in FY2023  and  Net Sales / Revenue   of 3803.20 Cr & Net Profit of 935.90 Cr in FY2024 .

EPS will improved from 62.70 in FY2021 to 94.70 by FY2024. Net Cash Position will increase from ₹511.90Cr to ₹1801.40Cr; Bool Value per Share from ₹327 to ₹479 and Cash Flow per Share from ₹96.40 to ₹152 during the same period.

Valuations  : The Company is now Trading at X1.20 of its  valuations of  FY2021 earnings with ~20% Premium and X0.8 of its FY2022 earnings with ~16% Discount and  X0.77 of its FY2023 earnings with ~23%  Discount and X0.76 of its FY2024 earnings with ~24%  Discount.

Margin of Safety (1Yr Bond Yield: Value>1 ) is now  1.3   which  makes is attractive . The  Equity Value Per Share ( Enterprise Value Method ) is  1117.00

Early Trend: Piped cooking gas prices may rise 10-11% in October 2021

If We factor its FY2023 earnings/valuations, its Price arrives at 1916.

Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.

Join Us at   Telegram #   https://t.me/TheNiftyNext

Data Source NSE Website | Screener.In  | Capital Line Money Control |Refinitiv |

The author tracks economic, behavioural and corporate tends, hoping to gauge good avenues of return based on Fundamental Valuations of Stocks, a follower of EPV method. You can reach me/us at | Twitter # NiftyNext1 |  e-Mail : Mail@NiftyNext.Com  |  Tel +91 8802230836  |  Telegram # TheNiftyNext   |

Manage your investments the right way With MProfit. Visit https://www.mprofit.in/

Use Our Referral Link to Get 20% DISCOUNT @ https://www.mprofit.in/buy?referral=R1GD99J496AB1345D

 


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