Thursday, April 5, 2018

What Next in the Indian Equity Market ?


Nifty-F (SGX ) is now Trading at 10289 at the time of writing of this article. Why Indian Equity market is  exposed to such high volatility ? 100 Points Up or Down is not a matter now days. Lets, look at the micro-economy figures.
A per a recent report, Indian Economy is expected to grow7.4% in FY19 compare to earlier expectation of 7.1%. The rise is due to the production side, higher growth in agriculture (expectation of normal rainfall and assumption of even rainfall distribution over space and time) and industrial sectors is expected to push the overall economic growth. From the expenditure side, the boost is expected to come from both private and government expenditure coupled with green shoots emerging in investment spending.Auto sales are rocket high with 25% growth insales.
The major concern is the Banking sectors, which is loaded with huge Non-Performing assests of 14% of its total credit portfolio and delay in the CAPEX by the companies.
We are hopefull that Indian Equity market will see Ups & Down in the near future , with the changes in the Bond market.Govt has reduced its H1/2018 borrowing from bond market by 10%, which has made the Yields to slide from 7.80% to 7.3% (10Yrs Bonds ).
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Wednesday, April 4, 2018

What Promoters are Buying in Indian Equity Market on 04.04.2018

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GNA Axles Ltd ( GNA ) : FY-2020 Earnings are fully Priced


GNA closed at 474.40 with a Gain of +4% on 04-April-2018. It is now Trading at 2.7X   EPV (  Earnings Power Value ) of its Dec 2017 Earnings . We have estimated its PAT for FY 2020 is 66Cr, based on which its EPV comes at 421.1, which is 1.1X to its  current Market Price.
GNA is going for CapEx of 135.5 Cr spreading for the year next 3 years, which will affect its profitability.
Disclaimer : We are / may going to take exposure shortly.
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